Gibo, Chiz gain; Erap, Noynoy lose ground in new Davao survey

Here is the result of the latest survey in the First District of Davao.

It was taken last Saturday, October 10, in nine barangays (5-A, 8-A, 39-D, 40-D, Ma-a, Matina Crossing, Matina Pangi, Bago Aplaya, Bago Gallera) with 240 respondents.

Rank President Oct 10 Sept 3 Change
1 Aquino 35.0 37.4 -2.4
2 Escudero 20.4 14.8 6.8
3 Estrada 17.1 24.1 -7.0
4 Villar 13.3 13.0 0.3
5 Teodoro 8.3 0.0 8.3
6 Villanueva 2.1 0.4 1.7

The September 3 survey was taken also in nine but different barangays in the district, which includes the poblacion and southern suburban areas of downtown Davao City.

In your face!

During the many debates on the Japan-Philippine Economic Partnership Agreement (JPEPA), its proponents promised us that the country would be treated well by Japan with this pact. And that we will gain much in trade, aid and investments, among other things.

Ngek!

What is this P1.3 billion loss?

This clearly shows that the Philippines is not a favored nation in spite of the JPEPA as Tokyo cuts its aid to Manila next year.

Time to make those who voted for JPEPA accountable. Remember them on May 10, 2010.

3-in-1 Today

Three important events are being marked today, 37th anniversary of Martial Law in the country, celebration of Eid ‘l Fitr, and UN International Day of Peace.

Here are some activities in Davao City:

9 a.m. – Aksyon Mindanaw and Mindanaons for Noynoy Movement interfaith prayer and Kaduli at Shanghai Bro’s Restaurant;

1-5 p.m. – Task Force Detainees of the Philippines Human Rights Forum at the UP-Mindanao Anda Campus;

3 p.m. – Kabataang para kay Noynoy Aquino (K NA!) Free t-shirt printing at Centennial Park;

5 p.m. – Candlelight ceremony at Centennial Park to honor victims of martial law and promote the International Day of Peace

Luzon goes Noynoy

The SWS survey in Luzon has confirmed Senator Noynoy has now become the man to beat in next year’s polls.

He polled 50%, the highest ever among the so-called presidentiables since polling to track voter preference started more than two years ago.

This survey also confirmed results of our own survey in the first district of Davao that he can win support from erstwhile supporters of other presidentiables, cutting across all political forces and economic classes.

The survey also revealed an interesting fact. He gets more support every time a presidentiable’s name is taken out in the survey, getting a high of 63% in a three-way fight among Noynoy, Villar and de Castro, and 55% in a four-way contest among Noynoy, Villar, Erap and de Castro.

He needs to sustain the momentum is how one vice mayor in Davao told me in reaction to the survey result.

Well, the Noynoy support groups are mounting more activities this week in Davao including community and campus tours, Rock the Vote Concert, Piso-piso fund drive and start of round-table discussions in crafting a Mindanao Agenda for Noynoy.

Presidentiables and JPEPA

I was totally surprised that my post on October 9, 2008 on the Senate vote on the Japan-Philippine Economic Partnership Agreement (JPEPA) would attract interest these past few days.

I noticed that this particular post “Only 4 voted ‘no’ on JPEPA” was getting many hits.

Well, in that story, I wrote Senator Noynoy Aquino “a new hero,” Senator Mar Roxas a “wimp,” and in the comments section, I added Senator Manny Villar being “more presidentiable” and Senator Chiz Escudero having “more major league balls.”

You too might want to revisit the story in the light of recent political developments.

Incidentally, it might interest you to know that surveys among so-called presidentiables between December 2007 and December 2008 revealed an interesing fact.

It showed that only two such “presidentiables” lost ground, while a number made more headway.

Who are these two, you might ask?

Believe it or not, the two Ilonggo senators – Miriam Defensor Santiago and Mar Roxas, the main proponents of JPEPA.

Mar has not recovered from this slide. I believe he was punished for his JPEPA stand.

Go check your stats.

Noynoy accepts challenge

Senator Noynoy Aquino has finally accepted the challenge and responsibility to continue the legacy of his parents and lead the country by running as president next year.

He made the announcement just a while ago at the historic Club Filipino in San Juan, Metro Manila.

Here in Davao, the planned activities to mark the 40th day of mourning on the passing away of former President Cory Aquino would now become the opening salvo for Noynoy for President Movement.

A motorcade is now underway in the city’s main streets towards the Matina Town Center (MTS) where an inter-faith prayer service and assembly of various Noynoy support groups would be held.

I was invited to represent the Liberal Party. I will also represent Mayor Rody Duterte is the activity.

At noon, a mass would be held at the San Pedro Cathedral with Raffy Lopa representing the Aquino clan.

In 20 minutes it would be 9 am of September 9, 2009 or 09-09-09-09. Will this bring luck to Noynoy and win in 2010?

Well, your guess is as good as mine.

An interesting mix

I started to compile a list of key personalities in Davao who expressed support for Senator Noynoy to run as president in 2010.

This is a clear proof that Senator Noynoy’s appeal cuts across the wide spectrum of Pinoy politics. This gives flesh to the result of our survey that Noynoy can draw away support from almost all presidentiables.

A former congressman from Davao del Sur whose father is the pre-martial law Mister Nacionalista in the Davao Region;

A former vice governor of Davao del Norte whose father is a key Lakas-Kampi official;

An incumbent vice mayor of one of the cities in the Davao Region identified with Kampi;

A retired Police Superintendent;

A former COMELEC official in Sultan Kudarat;

A member of the Maguindanao royalty;

A former official of the Mindanao Business Council seen in one Manny Villar function;

A youth leader previously identified with Jeep ni Erap;

A businessman previously identified with the movement to draft Chief Justice Puno for president.

An interesting mix indeed.